Draper Is a Seller's Market, But Two-Thirds Already Cut
Sellers in Draper hear "seller's market" and picture full-price offers, a fast sale, and no need to budge on price. The supply number backs that up: at today's pace, every home for sale would be gone in 3.9 months, and anything under 4 months is considered seller territory. So the expectation makes sense. I pulled every listing through September 13, 2026, and here is what the numbers actually show.
A seller's market does not mean every seller wins
The 3.9-month supply is real. Homes that sold closed at 99.2% of their last asking price, and the middle sold price across all of Draper was $815,000. Those are strong numbers. But they describe the homes that found a buyer. They say nothing about the ones that never did.
Right now, 113 of the 171 homes for sale have already dropped their price. The typical drop is $50,000, and the biggest single cut is $385,000, on Somerset Ridge Drive. Those sellers listed into the same 3.9-month market. The supply number did not protect them.
The reason is price. Homes that gave up had a typical first asking price of $859,950. Homes that sold had a typical first asking price of $819,900. That $40,050 gap is what separated the sellers who closed from the ones who did not. In a seller's market, you still have to price it right.
Does waiting longer get you a better price?
Some sellers assume that if they hold firm, a buyer will eventually come around at their number. The data from this market says the opposite. Homes that found a buyer in the first month sold for 100% of what they first asked. Homes that took until the second month sold for 94.9% of what they first asked. Homes that took three months sold for 94% of what they first asked. Every month on the market cost sellers more off their original price.
The half-by-half split tells the same story. From March 2026 to June 2026, the middle days to sell was 15, and homes sold for 99.2% of what they first asked. From June 2026 to September 2026, the middle days to sell climbed to 42, and homes sold for 96.6% of what they first asked. The market did not collapse. Prices actually moved up a little. But sellers who listed later had to give more ground to get there.
August made that plain. The middle days to sell in August was 67. Homes sold for 94% of what they first asked, the lowest of any month in the file. The market was still absorbing homes. Buyers were still out there. But they were not paying the first number they saw.
- Price it at or just below what comparable homes sold for, not what you hope to get.
- Homes priced right from the start sold for 100% of their first asking price.
- Homes that sat and cut lost an average of $50,000 before they moved, and 52 never moved at all.
What this means for you, whether you are selling or buying
If you are selling, the 3.9-month supply is genuinely good news, but only if your price matches what buyers are paying, not what you first hoped to ask. South Mountain is one place to watch: every home that sold there got 100% of what it first asked, and the middle days to sell was 12. That is the clearest example in this file of what a well-priced home in a seller's market can do. Price it right from day one, and you are much more likely to be in that group than in the 66.1% that had to cut.
If you are buying, the 52 homes that came off the market with no sale are worth paying attention to. Twenty-two of them are listed for sale again right now. Those sellers have already been through the market once and did not find a buyer. That history gives you a real starting point for a conversation about price. The data also shows that 51.5% of sellers paid money back to the buyer at closing, with a typical amount of $9,500. Asking for a concession is not unusual here. It is what happened in more than half of all sales in this file.
Your next step
(617) 921-5263Tell me your address and I will send you your home's value today, set against the first asking prices of homes that sold versus the ones that gave up. That comparison tells you exactly where your price should land before you list or before you make an offer.
Text me- My market data, every listing in Draper 84020, as of September 13, 2026